Cieza vs Santomera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
+180%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
IMP
3 - 1
CIE
30%
29%
41%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
CIE
2 - 0
TCF
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
PIN
1 - 1
CIE
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
CIE
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
MME
0 - 1
CIE
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santomera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDB
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALB
47%
27%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
IMP
1 - 2
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
SAN
2 - 0
TCF
60%
23%
18%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |