Cieza vs Penya Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
CFC
3 - 0
CIE
72%
20%
8%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
CIE
3 - 1
FIG
21%
29%
51%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
HOS
4 - 1
CIE
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
CIE
1 - 1
GIM
28%
31%
42%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
ALC
6 - 2
CIE
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
PXD
0 - 2
ELC
20%
29%
50%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
CFC
2 - 0
PXD
70%
21%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
PXD
1 - 1
BEN
26%
32%
42%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
FIG
5 - 0
PXD
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
PXD
0 - 0
GIR
26%
29%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |