Cieza vs El Palmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 2
CIE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CIE
1 - 0
CFC
53%
24%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 3
CIE
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIE
4 - 2
LOR
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 1
MSM
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
El Palmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EGP
2 - 0
UCA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
EGP
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
EGP
0 - 1
MUL
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
EGP
40%
25%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
EGP
1 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |