Cieza vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
UBC
5 - 1
CIE
59%
19%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
CIE
3 - 2
ALC
63%
18%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
GUA
3 - 1
CIE
59%
18%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
CIE
7 - 0
ALI
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
CIE
4 - 2
IMP
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
MAN
3 - 1
TAL
51%
21%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
RAY
2 - 1
MAN
87%
8%
5%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOM
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
CNC
2 - 0
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
JAV
3 - 0
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |