Cieza vs EDMF Churra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EGP
0 - 1
CIE
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CIE
2 - 0
PUL
30%
25%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CIE
1 - 3
UDL
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 2
CIE
55%
23%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EDMF Churra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CHU
3 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
CHU
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CHU
1 - 1
IMP
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
CHU
43%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CHU
0 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |