Cieza vs Costa Calida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
CIE
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 0
CDB
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MSM
0 - 2
CIE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
CIE
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CCS
4 - 0
PUT
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
CCS
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 1
CCS
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CCS
2 - 0
CDB
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
MSM
0 - 1
CCS
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |