Cuba First Division Round 12

Cienfuegos vs Granma analysis

Cienfuegos Granma
59 ELO 59
-19.6% Tilt -15.5%
3069º General ELO ranking 4061º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Cienfuegos
28.9%
Draw
36.6%
Granma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
Cienfuegos
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.6%
Win probability
Granma
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cienfuegos
+26%
-29%
Granma

ELO progression

Cienfuegos
Granma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cienfuegos
Cienfuegos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2016
FCL
FC La Habana
2 - 0
Cienfuegos
CIE
57%
24%
19%
59 62 3 0
16 Apr. 2016
GUA
Guantánamo
1 - 0
Cienfuegos
CIE
49%
28%
23%
59 62 3 0
09 Apr. 2016
CIE
Cienfuegos
0 - 1
Las Tunas
LAS
44%
27%
29%
60 55 5 -1
02 Apr. 2016
CIE
Cienfuegos
3 - 0
Isla Juventud
ISL
52%
26%
22%
59 51 8 +1
26 Mar. 2016
CIE
Cienfuegos
0 - 1
Camagüey
CAM
38%
29%
33%
59 60 1 0

Matches

Granma
Granma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2016
CIE
Ciego de Ávila
1 - 1
Granma
GRA
47%
26%
27%
60 61 1 0
16 Apr. 2016
GRA
Granma
3 - 1
Santiago de Cuba
SAN
44%
26%
30%
59 62 3 +1
09 Apr. 2016
GRA
Granma
1 - 6
Villa Clara
VIL
45%
26%
29%
60 62 2 -1
02 Apr. 2016
GRA
Granma
2 - 5
FC La Habana
FCL
44%
26%
30%
61 62 1 -1
26 Mar. 2016
GUA
Guantánamo
0 - 0
Granma
GRA
43%
27%
29%
60 62 2 +1