Ciego de Ávila vs Holguín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciego de Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
0 - 2
FCL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 2
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 1
VIL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 2
CAM
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
FCL
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 1
PIN
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 0
CIE
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
1 - 2
GUA
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 2
CAM
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |