Cianorte vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 2
CIA
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CIA
2 - 1
CCR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CIA
2 - 0
IRA
43%
24%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ACP
2 - 0
CIA
36%
24%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
JMA
3 - 0
CIA
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
TUN
0 - 0
COT
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
COT
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
COT
2 - 1
ACP
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
COT
1 - 3
JMA
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 0
COT
14%
20%
65%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |