Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
5º
4º
5
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 31 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 28 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 22 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 19 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 19 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 12 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
20% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 2
SFF
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SFF
3 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 2
CHO
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
AZU
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
TAU
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
UME
1 - 1
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
IND
3 - 2
AZU
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SFF
1 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
IND
2 - 3
SUN
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |