Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 2
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
TAU
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 2
CHO
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
COS
2 - 3
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 3
ARA
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |