Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 2
IND
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
TAU
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 2
CHO
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
AMA
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COS
1 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SMI
1 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |