Chorley vs Trafford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEG
1 - 2
CHO
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MOS
1 - 3
CHO
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 0
BAM
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 3
WAR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Trafford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 3
TRA
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
OSS
2 - 0
TRA
24%
22%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 2
BAM
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GAR
2 - 1
TRA
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
WIT
34%
25%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |