Chorley vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHO
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STO
0 - 3
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 2
UNM
35%
25%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHO
5 - 1
HED
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 5
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
NOR
15%
22%
63%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
KEN
1 - 4
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 3
BUX
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAT
29%
25%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RFC
4 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |