Choco vs Verín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
UDA
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PON
0 - 0
CHO
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
2 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
5 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Verín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VER
0 - 1
BEL
25%
23%
53%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDA
3 - 2
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VER
1 - 0
POR
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PON
2 - 1
VER
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 4
VER
25%
23%
51%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |