Choco vs Tomiño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
PON
45%
27%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
CHO
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARO
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomiño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
1 - 2
RIB
29%
24%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
2 - 3
TOM
44%
25%
32%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
TOM
62%
21%
18%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOM
1 - 2
GRA
44%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NIG
0 - 2
TOM
51%
23%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |