Choco vs Tomiño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHO
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARE
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
RIB
1 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 0
COV
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tomiño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TOM
1 - 2
EST
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
TOM
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAS
48%
24%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 0
TOM
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TOM
2 - 3
POR
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |