Choco vs Sporting Celanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CRU
0 - 1
CHO
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 2
CAS
56%
23%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
RIB
1 - 1
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
ATO
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
CHO
50%
24%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
EST
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SPO
5 - 0
RIB
41%
25%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ATO
1 - 0
SPO
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
EST
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
OGR
1 - 1
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |