Choco vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOI
3 - 2
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
ORD
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NEG
3 - 1
CHO
54%
24%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
PON
24%
25%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 4
CHO
12%
22%
67%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SOM
2 - 0
CDD
46%
26%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CER
3 - 1
SOM
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BOI
2 - 2
SOM
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SOM
2 - 2
ORD
32%
27%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SOM
0 - 2
RCV
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |