Choco vs Silva SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
RCV
1 - 1
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
DEP
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 4
CHO
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 3
RCV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 2
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Silva SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
BOU
4 - 0
SIL
61%
23%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 2
BOU
31%
26%
44%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
SIL
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 4
CHO
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 4
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |