Choco vs Grixoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RCV
1 - 0
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 1
CDD
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 3
BOI
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Grixoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 0
CDD
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
GRI
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
BOI
15%
22%
64%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 0
GRI
64%
21%
15%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GRI
2 - 0
NEG
31%
27%
42%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |