Choco vs Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
RCV
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOU
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
4 - 1
ORD
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NEG
0 - 0
BOU
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 1
NEG
49%
25%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NEG
4 - 0
ORD
75%
17%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 1
NEG
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NEG
3 - 1
BAR
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |