Choco vs Club Lemos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LUG
6 - 0
CHO
88%
8%
4%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CHO
3 - 1
ORD
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHO
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 1
CHO
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
CHO
3 - 3
ACF
54%
22%
25%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Club Lemos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LEM
2 - 1
ZEL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
COX
3 - 0
LEM
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LEM
1 - 1
DEP
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LEM
0 - 0
RCF
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
GRA
2 - 1
LEM
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |