Choco vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RCV
2 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALO
1 - 1
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 0
RIB
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CER
0 - 1
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 3
CER
40%
25%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BER
0 - 1
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CER
1 - 1
DEP
33%
25%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |