Choco vs CCD Cerceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 1
CDD
60%
22%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 3
BOI
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ORD
3 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
NEG
61%
23%
16%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CCD Cerceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
ALO
47%
26%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
CER
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
BET
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
CER
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CER
1 - 0
ASP
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |