Choco vs CD Allariz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
CHO
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 4
PON
57%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 3
POR
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
ANT
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Allariz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ALL
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
5 - 2
ALL
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
ALE
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 3
PON
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |