Choco vs Boiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 1
CAM
47%
28%
24%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
62%
23%
15%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
CHO
2 - 3
FIS
60%
22%
17%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
DEP
3 - 1
CHO
78%
15%
8%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Boiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
BOI
1 - 0
LEM
53%
25%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
VIS
2 - 0
BOI
66%
21%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BOI
2 - 1
CLU
45%
28%
27%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
ARO
3 - 0
BOI
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
BOI
1 - 2
LUG
38%
29%
33%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |