Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 1
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 0
ALO
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 2
CHO
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
OUR
0 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
OUR
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ARE
4 - 2
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
RIB
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 2
BAR
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
PON
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |