Choco vs At. Arnoia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
SOM
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ALO
0 - 1
CHO
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
POL
2 - 2
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 1
POL
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIV
2 - 0
ARN
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARN
3 - 2
NOI
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RCV
4 - 0
ARN
66%
20%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 2
BOU
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |