Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 1
CHO
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
ARO
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BOI
1 - 2
CHO
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 3
ASP
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALO
0 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIB
1 - 2
ALO
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALO
0 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BER
3 - 1
ALO
38%
28%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALO
3 - 1
DEP
26%
25%
50%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |