Choco vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
LEM
0 - 0
CHO
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COX
4 - 3
CHO
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
CHO
6 - 2
ALO
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VIV
2 - 1
CHO
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
CHO
6 - 2
LEM
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ALO
3 - 1
BUE
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
LEM
2 - 1
ALO
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ALO
3 - 1
ARO
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALO
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ALO
3 - 0
BUE
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |