Choco vs Alertanavia CP analysis


18	ELO	10
-3.8%	Tilt	-16.6%
10761º	General ELO ranking	10938º
1264º	Country ELO ranking	1400º
ELO win probability

83.5%

Choco

10.9%

Draw

5.6%

Alertanavia CP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

83.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%

10.9%

Draw

0-0

2.3%

1-1

5.1%

2-2

2.7%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

10.9%

5.6%

Win probability

0.71

Expected goals

0-1

1.7%

1-2

1.8%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

4-5

0%

-1

4.2%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.1%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-24%

+56%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Choco

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Sep. 2023	PON 0 - 0 CHO 60% 21% 19%	18	20	2	0
17 Sep. 2023	CHO 4 - 1 CAM 52% 22% 26%	18	17	1	0
10 Sep. 2023	POR 3 - 2 CHO 46% 24% 30%	18	17	1	0
22 Apr. 2023	CHO 1 - 3 BOU 14% 22% 65%	19	39	20	-1
16 Apr. 2023	ARZ 3 - 1 CHO 59% 22% 19%	20	24	4	-1