Choco U19 vs Racing Ferrol U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
9º
4º
41
7º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 76 |
2º
|
96.5% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 69 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
60% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
CHO
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALO
0 - 2
CHO
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 0
XUV
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
4 - 1
CHO
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
CON
73%
15%
11%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
ATL
39%
22%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OUR
2 - 3
FER
35%
22%
43%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
FER
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
ALO
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |