Choco B vs Nigrán Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SES
0 - 2
CHO
25%
23%
51%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 0
42%
24%
34%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LTA
2 - 2
CHO
49%
23%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
MIG
60%
21%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TYD
1 - 0
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nigrán Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 2
CAS
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TEB
3 - 0
NIG
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 1
NIE
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TEI
1 - 5
NIG
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SES
3 - 1
NIG
28%
24%
48%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |