Choco B vs Nieto CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHO
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHO
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 2
TEI
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 1
CHO
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CHO
5 - 1
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nieto CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
NIE
6 - 2
MOL
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 2
NIE
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NIE
3 - 1
CHA
55%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FVI
1 - 8
NIE
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NIE
3 - 1
SEU
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |