FAW Championship Gales North Round 15

Chirk AAA vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis

Chirk AAA Cefn Druids AFC
34 ELO 39
-7.9% Tilt -4.7%
29388º General ELO ranking 22022º
129º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
27.3%
Chirk AAA
20.5%
Draw
52.1%
Cefn Druids AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
Chirk AAA
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.1%
Win probability
Cefn Druids AFC
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Chirk AAA
Their league position
Cefn Druids AFC
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
15º
13º
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Colwyn Bay
82
85
100%
Holywell
77
77
100%
Llandudno FC
65
65
100%
Guilsfield FC
54
57
100%
Ruthin Town
48
51
100%
Prestatyn Town
43
46
50%
Cefn Druids AFC
43
43
50%
Buckley Town
42
42
100%
Gresford Athletic
10º
32
35
0%
Mold Alexandra
35
35
10º
0%
Porthmadog
11º
30
31
11º
49%
Llanidloes Town FC
12º
27
28
12º
63.5%
Chirk AAA
13º
26
26
13º
100%
Conwy Borough FC
14º
23
23
14º
100%
Holyhead Hotspur
15º
16
16
15º
68%
Penrhyncoch FC
16º
16
16
16º
68%
Expected probabilities
Chirk AAA
Cefn Druids AFC
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chirk AAA
Cefn Druids AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chirk AAA
Chirk AAA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
CON
Conwy Borough FC
1 - 1
Chirk AAA
AAA
42%
22%
36%
34 29 5 0
06 Nov. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
0 - 2
Holywell
HOL
14%
20%
67%
35 50 15 -1
28 Oct. 2022
LLA
Llandudno FC
3 - 1
Chirk AAA
AAA
74%
16%
9%
36 49 13 -1
22 Oct. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
0 - 0
Holyhead Hotspur
HOL
49%
22%
30%
36 36 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
AAA
Chirk AAA
1 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
4%
9%
87%
35 69 34 +1

Matches

Cefn Druids AFC
Cefn Druids AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
2 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
79%
12%
9%
39 28 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
3 - 4
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
56%
20%
24%
40 38 2 -1
05 Nov. 2022
POR
Porthmadog
1 - 2
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
41%
22%
37%
39 37 2 +1
29 Oct. 2022
CEF
Cefn Druids AFC
4 - 1
Penrhyncoch FC
PEN
77%
13%
10%
39 29 10 0
22 Oct. 2022
GRE
Gresford Athletic
2 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
36%
23%
41%
40 38 2 -1