Chirk AAA vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
15º
13º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
AAA
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 2
HOL
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
3 - 1
AAA
74%
16%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
0 - 0
HOL
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
TNS
4%
9%
87%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
2 - 1
MOL
79%
12%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 4
LLA
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
CEF
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CEF
4 - 1
PEN
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEF
36%
23%
41%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |