Chipstead vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chipstead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
TOW
2 - 4
CHI
43%
25%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DOV
2 - 1
CHI
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 1
LEA
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 2
KIN
30%
25%
46%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SIT
2 - 0
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 1
MOL
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
WOR
3 - 0
WAL
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
WHI
3 - 1
WOR
20%
22%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
WOR
1 - 2
MET
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |