Non League Div One Isthmian South Central round 30

Chipstead vs Marlow FC analysis

Chipstead Marlow FC
24 ELO 27
-14.1% Tilt 0.3%
21639º General ELO ranking 10547º
727º Country ELO ranking 414º
ELO win probability
39%
Chipstead
25.6%
Draw
35.4%
Marlow FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
Chipstead
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.4%
Win probability
Marlow FC
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chipstead
+22%
-52%
Marlow FC

Points and table prediction

Chipstead
Their league position
Marlow FC
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
19º
11º
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Basingstoke Town
89
89
100%
Walton & Hersham
87
87
100%
Marlow FC
67
67
100%
Hanworth Villa FC
66
66
100%
Northwood
63
63
100%
Binfield
57
57
0%
Leatherhead
57
57
0%
Chertsey Town
56
56
100%
South Park FC
55
55
100%
Southall
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Chipstead
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Westfield FC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Thatcham Town
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Uxbridge
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Guernsey
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Ashford Town
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Sutton Common Rovers
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Merstham
18º
36
36
18º
100%
Bedfont Sports
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Tooting and Mitcham
20º
24
24
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chipstead
Marlow FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chipstead
Marlow FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chipstead
Chipstead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2023
MER
Merstham
1 - 0
Chipstead
CHI
29%
23%
49%
25 21 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
UXB
Uxbridge
1 - 0
Chipstead
CHI
46%
23%
31%
26 27 1 -1
21 Feb. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
0 - 2
Walton & Hersham
WAL
30%
24%
47%
28 33 5 -2
18 Feb. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
2 - 4
Basingstoke Town
BAS
25%
22%
52%
29 35 6 -1
11 Feb. 2023
CHI
Chipstead
1 - 0
Northwood
NOR
53%
23%
25%
29 25 4 0

Matches

Marlow FC
Marlow FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marlow FC
1 - 1
Merstham
MER
68%
18%
14%
28 20 8 0
18 Feb. 2023
CHE
Chertsey Town
0 - 2
Marlow FC
MAR
69%
18%
14%
27 33 6 +1
14 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marlow FC
4 - 2
Ashford Town
ASH
62%
20%
18%
27 21 6 0
11 Feb. 2023
BAS
Basingstoke Town
2 - 0
Marlow FC
MAR
72%
16%
12%
28 33 5 -1
04 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marlow FC
1 - 3
Leatherhead
LEA
49%
23%
28%
29 27 2 -1