Chinchilla vs El Bonillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chinchilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 3
MAH
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
INI
4 - 2
CHI
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
FLP
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 1
CHI
62%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Bonillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 2
ELB
49%
22%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 5
HEL
9%
16%
76%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 2
VIL
16%
20%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAH
3 - 1
ELB
76%
15%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INI
1 - 0
ELB
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |