China vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 0
PLE
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
CHN
4 - 0
MMR
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 38 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHN
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
1 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SYR
2 - 2
MAS
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
10 - 0
PNG
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 1
SOL
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
TKM
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |