Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
REU
2 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
QUI
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SPD
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SLC
2 - 2
NUE
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 0
NUE
66%
18%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NUE
0 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REU
3 - 0
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |