Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
SLC
1 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 0
IZT
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOL
0 - 2
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 3
IZT
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOL
1 - 0
NUE
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NUE
6 - 1
BAR
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 0
NUE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 1
NUE
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |