Chieri vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 2
CHI
29%
24%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 0
ACS
74%
16%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FOS
1 - 2
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
CAS
33%
27%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PDH
0 - 1
CHI
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
GOZ
0 - 0
NOV
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
4 - 0
FOS
83%
13%
5%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 4
NOV
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
PDH
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
NOV
6%
16%
78%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |