Chieri vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
USC
4 - 0
CHI
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
NAV
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
CHI
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
GAL
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACA
5 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 3
CHI
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
AST
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ACQ
0 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |