Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
LAN
0 - 0
CFS
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
CFS
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
NYC
1 - 0
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CFS
4 - 1
COR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CFS
1 - 1
VAN
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PHU
6 - 1
NER
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
KCW
4 - 4
NER
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
NER
0 - 3
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
NER
1 - 0
RBN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NER
0 - 2
AFC
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |