MLS Normal Season Round 12

Chicago Fire vs Houston Dynamo analysis

Chicago Fire Houston Dynamo
75 ELO 76
10.1% Tilt 8%
480º General ELO ranking 364º
24º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Chicago Fire
24.8%
Draw
35.1%
Houston Dynamo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Chicago Fire
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.1%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chicago Fire
+2%
-14%
Houston Dynamo

ELO progression

Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2020
ORL
Orlando City
4 - 1
Chicago Fire
CFS
48%
24%
28%
75 76 1 0
12 Sep. 2020
CFS
Chicago Fire
2 - 2
Columbus Crew
COC
42%
26%
32%
75 79 4 0
07 Sep. 2020
CFS
Chicago Fire
1 - 2
New England Revolution
NER
40%
24%
36%
76 77 1 -1
03 Sep. 2020
CIN
Cincinnati
0 - 0
Chicago Fire
CFS
20%
24%
57%
76 64 12 0
30 Aug. 2020
NYC
New York City
3 - 1
Chicago Fire
CFS
52%
24%
24%
76 80 4 0

Matches

Houston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2020
HOD
Houston Dynamo
2 - 2
Minnesota United
MIN
42%
24%
34%
77 78 1 0
13 Sep. 2020
DAL
FC Dallas
2 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
51%
24%
25%
77 80 3 0
10 Sep. 2020
COR
Colorado Rapids
1 - 1
Houston Dynamo
HOD
39%
25%
37%
77 74 3 0
06 Sep. 2020
HOD
Houston Dynamo
2 - 1
Sporting Kansas City
KCW
45%
25%
30%
77 79 2 0
03 Sep. 2020
HOD
Houston Dynamo
3 - 0
Minnesota United
MIN
40%
24%
36%
76 77 1 +1