MLS Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Chicago Fire vs FC Dallas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 2
DAL
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
RBN
0 - 1
CFS
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 1
COC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GAL
1 - 3
CFS
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
SJE
0 - 1
CFS
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Dallas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
CFS
2 - 2
DAL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
TAM
2 - 3
DAL
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
DAL
3 - 0
KCW
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
MIA
4 - 2
DAL
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
COC
3 - 0
DAL
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |