Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Independence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
CFS
0 - 1
DCU
38%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
CFS
1 - 0
LOU
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NER
2 - 0
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CFS
2 - 3
ORL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
DCU
3 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
RIC
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
NER
0 - 1
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
PIT
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
RIC
2 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |