Chiasso vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
LUG
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 1
ZOF
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
GCB
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
5 - 0
SCH
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHI
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ZOF
3 - 4
LUZ
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUZ
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LUZ
2 - 3
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ZUG
0 - 1
LUZ
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 0
CHU
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |