Chiasso vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ZUG
0 - 0
CHI
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
CHU
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
RAP
0 - 0
CHI
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
STG
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ESC
2 - 2
CHI
19%
22%
60%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ZUR
4 - 3
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 3
NEX
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 0
GCZ
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 3
STG
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |